Coherent Mortality Forecasting for the Algerian Population

mortality forecasting based on lee-carter model

over the past decades a number of approaches have been applied for forecasting mortality. in 1992, a new method for long-run forecast of the level and age pattern of mortality was published by lee and carter. this method was welcomed by many authors so it was extended through a wider class of generalized, parametric and nonlinear model. this model represents one of the most influential recent d...

Forecasting Electricity Load and Prices in an Algerian Deregulated Market

In a competitive electricity market environment, power producers and consumers need, on one hand, accurate load and/or electricity consumption forecasting tools. These tools will ensure an a-priori knowledge on the amount of energy needed for production. On the other hand, forecasting electricity prices, may play a very important role for producers and consumers when planning bidding strategies...

Coherent mortality forecasting: the product-ratio method with functional time series models.

When independence is assumed, forecasts of mortality for subpopulations are almost always divergent in the long term. We propose a method for coherent forecasting of mortality rates for two or more subpopulations, based on functional principal components models of simple and interpretable functions of rates. The product-ratio functional forecasting method models and forecasts the geometric mean...

Acetabular Fractures in the Senior Population– Epidemiology, Mortality and Treatments

Background:Management of acetabular fractures in the senior population can be one of the most challenging injuries tomanage. Furthermore, treating surgeons have a paucity of information to guide the treatment in this patient population.The purpose of this study was to determine: (1) demographic and epidemiologic data, (2) mortality rates for nonoperativecompared to operative management at diffe...

Prevalent Causes of Mortality in the Iranian Population